A crystal ball used for predicting the future |
Predicting the future is not based upon looking into a crystal ball sitting on
your living room table it is rather the ability to be able to predict future
trends by observing ongoing trends
today. This is an ability that requires much hard work and perseverance. In
many circles the people who practice this trend watching are called Futurists. It has some ability
that can be learned and it isn't necessarily something you are born with.
A prediction or forecast is considered to be a statement
about the way things are apt to occur sometime in the future. These predictions
are often based on experience or knowledge but that isn't always the case. Many
times there is so much overlap between prediction and forecasting that a prediction
is usually a statement from which there is apt to be an expected outcome. On
the other hand a forecast they cover a range of possible futures based on the
knowledge in hand.
Any guarantee that this information as it is presented will
predict the future is often wrong, but at least it will allow you to decide on
possible plans for meeting future developments. Howard H. Stevenson writes that
prediction and business is at least two things: important and hard.
Many people confuse an informal prediction with an informed
guess or opinion. This is what happens outside of the rarest context of the
science of the future. Some of these so-called guesses may be more valid if the
predictor is a person who is knowledgeable in his field that is employing sound
reasoning along with accurate data.
One the largest investors in this kind of prediction are
large corporations because I hope to focus attention on possible events, risks
or business opportunities. They often use Futurists capable of bringing all the
available past and current data together, as a basis for predicting some
reasonable expectations they can expect in the future.
Another way to Futurists operate is by conducting public
opinion polls as a way of predicting the outcome of various events. This is done
to assess the public's opinion through these polls to predict the most likely
outcome occurring in the future.
There are several other tools that are also used by
Futurists besides a crystal ball to see what is going to happen later.
References:
Prediction, Wikipedia, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction
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